Impact of Union Budget 2021 on Stock Market and Commodity Market

Impact on Stock Market

The Union budget 2021 has been a bold one, where the government has increased its expenses without increasing the tax rates. Till now, the investors have welcomed the budget with open arms and it may continue to have a strong positive impact on the equity markets for FY ’21-’22 due to increase in liquidity, especially for some sectors including Infrastructure and affiliated sectors, Railways, Financial, and Capital Goods. Auto and Pharma sectors can boost from the scrappage policy introduced in the budget, and Consumer Goods (Electronic) sector can gain from the higher customs duty levied on imports. In short term, the equity markets might witness a correction, but for the year, the budget looks to be fruitful for equities, and in turn, for the country’s economy as well.

Impact on Commodity Market

In the Union Budget 2021, the FM has not announced any changes in the commodities transaction tax. However, there has been some changes in the custom duty on some commodities, which might affect the commodity market. Base customs duty on gold and silver has been reduced from 12.5% to 7.5%, but they will attract agriculture Infrastructure and development cess so the net rate levied comes around 10.75%. The budget has no impact on crude oil. As for iron and steel, Customs duty has been reduced to 7.5% from 10% earlier on semis, flat, and long products of non-alloy, alloy, and stainless steels.

Page 23, Financial Express Newspaper, 14 Feb 2021

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Morning Market Insight Report – 15 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Intraday Outlook

In Friday’s trading session, Bank Nifty gained 1.00%, with PSU Banks an Private Banks gaining 0.26% and 0.96% respectively.

We expect intraday range could be 35,587-36,609 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 35,302 to 36,914 zone for this week.

Nifty Intraday Outlook

In Friday’s trading session, Nifty almost flat inclined towards a negative zone, despite witnessing a highly volatile trading session.

We expect intraday range could be 14,958-15,364 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,813 to 15,527

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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Nureca Limited IPO – Date, Price, Review & Details

View – SHORT & LONG TERM INVESTORS CAN APPLY

Issue Highlights

Nureca Limited is engaged in home healthcare and wellness products, and is all set to hit the primary market, with a goal of raising INR 100 crores, which is 100% fresh issue.

The issue includes a reservation of up to INR 5,00,000 worth of equity shares (1,250 equity shares) for subscription by eligible employees

Issue Details

Strengths

  • Diversified product portfolio across home healthcare industry
  • Well-recognized brand with a targeted marketing strategy
  • Wide sales and distribution network
  • Experienced promoters with strong management team
  • Proven track record of robust financial performance

Valuation

The company reported its EPS at 9.45 for the year ending March 2020, bringing the IPO valuation to a P/E of 42.3 at upper price band, against sector PE of 50.56.

We recommend to apply for the issue on the basis of its strong financials and high prospects of the industry growth.

ISSUE BREAK-UP

Utilization of Funds

Background highlights of the company in brief

Nureca Ltd. is a B2C company engaged in the business of home healthcare and wellness products

The company’s product portfolio includes:

  • Chronic Device Products (blood pressure monitors, pulse oximeters, thermometers, nebulizers, self-monitoring glucose devices, humidifier and steamers)
  • Orthopedic Products (wheelchairs, walkers, lumbar and tailbone supports, and physiotherapy electric massagers)
  • Mother and Child Products (breast pumps, bottle sterilizers, bottle warmers, car seats and baby carry cots)
  • Nutrition Supplements (fish oil, multivitamins, probiotics, biotin, apple cider and vinegar)
  • Lifestyle Products (smart scales, aroma diffusers and fitness tracker)

The company markets and sells its products across India through its own website i.e. drtrust.in and third party e-commerce platforms, distributors and retailers. It also undertakes direct promotional initiatives like advertising our products through digital marketing.

During the lockdown, the company’s business and operations have continued to run effectively due to the general awareness about the healthcare products in which the company operates pursuant to COVID-19.

Though the business has been affected during the initial days of lockdown, the company has not faced any material impact on its business.

During the period after June 30, 2020, two companies namely, Nureca Technologies Private Limited and Nureca Healthcare Private Limited were incorporated as wholly owned subsidiaries of Nureca.

The company’s revenue from operations on a consolidated basis was INR 99.43 Crs, INR 61.89 Crs and INR 20.05 Crs for Fiscal 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. For the six months period ended September 30, 2020 it was INR 122.14 Crs.

The company’s revenue and profit margins are directly impacted by its sales volume of its products and by demand of the same. Majority of the revenue from operations is from sales of the company’s healthcare products.

Briefing about directors & key managerial personnel

Briefing Financials

Balance Sheet

Statement of Profit and Loss

Key Ratios

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Sensex 500 Points Away from reaching 52,000

During the current week, Nifty witnessed a highly volatile session, after breaking the trend line support at 15,160, after touching the high levels of 15,250 on the same day. It made the lows of 14,977, trading below 15,000 mark during the week. Sensex neared 52,000, touching 51,780 and it fell to 51,314 on the same day, witnessing a movement of around 466 points.

The market touched the high levels as it countersigned fund inflows from FIIs and FPIs. Better than expected quarterly result season also aided in uplifting the investors’ sentiments in the equity market. All the banking stocks have been continuing their uptrend, since a day before the RBI policy was announced, where, the RBI kept the rates unchanged as a plan to infuse liquidity in the market in order to revive the country’s economy from the adverse effect of COVID-19. However, the markets dipped as the investors started booking the profits, after the markets touched high levels.

The volatility in the market has been contributed by major global economic events such as US’ CPI inflation at part with the market expectations, better than expected crude oil inventory numbers, unemployment claims and Factory Orders, Eurozone’s and UK’s Final Services PMI and PPI, which supported the uptrend. Whereas, lower than expected UK’s construction PMI numbers, Eurozone’s Retail Sales, US’ Non-Farm Employment Change weighed on the equity markets.

As far as sectoral indices Nifty PSU Bank has gained as more as 8.3% in past 6 trading sessions, Nifty Metal has gained 5.0%, Nifty Realty gained 4.7%, Nifty Energy, Nifty Financial Services and Nifty Auto gained more than 2.5%, Nifty Pharma and Nifty FMCG gained more than 1.5% during the same period. Whereas, Nifty Media lost 3.3% during the same period.

For the upcoming week, 15,250 will be an important level to keep an eye at. We expect Nifty to be in the range of 15,000 – 14,882 – 14,800 to 15,250 – 15,285 – 15,380 for the week, whereas, we expect Bank Nifty to be in the range of 35,400 – 35,013 – 34,599 to 36,197 – 36,612 – 36,996.

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Morning Market Insight Report – 12 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Intraday Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Bank Nifty lost 0.76%, with PSU Banks gaining 0.14% and Private Banks losing 0.72%.

We expect intraday range could be 35,314-36,202 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 35,007 to 36,499 zone for this week.

Nifty Intraday Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Nifty closed higher, snapping its 2 days losing streak.

We expect intraday range could be 14,978-15,373 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,837 to 15,521.

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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Morning Market Insight Report – 11 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Intraday Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Bank Nifty lost 0.76%, with PSU Banks gaining 0.14% and Private Banks losing 0.72%.

We expect intraday range could be 35,237-36,283 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 34,939 to 36,584 zone for this week.

Nifty Intraday Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Nifty closed at par, after witnessing a highly volatile session, when it went below 15,000 as the investors booked profits.

We expect intraday range could be 14,856-15,364 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,707 to 15,519.

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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Morning Market Insight Report – 10 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Technical Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Bank Nifty rose 0.20%, with Private Banks gaining 0.18% and PSU Banks losing 0.40%.

We expect intraday range could be 35,519-36,602 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 35,157 to 36,893 zone for this week.

Nifty Intraday Outlook

In yesterday’s trading session, Nifty closed at par, losing all the gains in the first half of the trading session, after the bears made a comeback.

We expect intraday range could be 14,842-15,359 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,668 to 15,507

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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Gold and Silver Fell Steeply As Dollar Gains

During the las week in the COMEX market, prices of all the base metals such as Aluminum, Copper, Iron Ore, Lead witnessed a downward trend, wherein, Iron Ore observed a steep fall of 10.8% as compared to the close prices of the week before. However, zinc gained by 1.4% during the same period. As far as precious metals Gold and Silver are concerned, both observed a downfall by 2.4% and 3.2%, closing at $1,808.55 and $26.53 respectively on Friday.

The prices of precious metals fell drastically last week due to the strengthening of Dollar and a surge in US Treasury yields, which increased the holding cost of precious metals in the hand of investors. Also, a loose monetary policy by most of the major central banks, suggesting more liquidity in the market, to revive the global economy, also had a negative impact on the precious metals.

A part from this, better than expected economic data such as UK’s Final Manufacturing PMI and Final Services PMI, Italian Manufacturing PMI, French Manufacturing PMI, Prelim CPI, and Trade Balance, German Manufacturing PMI, Eurozone’s Prelim Flash GDP, Financial Services PMI and PPI, US’ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Financial Services PMI, ISM services PMI, Crude Oil Inventories, Unemployment Claims and ISM Manufacturing Prices also weighed on the precious metals.

For the current week, investors needs to keep an eye on economic data such as German Trade Balance, Italian Industrial Production on 9th February, German Final CPI, French Industrial Production, US’ Core CPI, Crude Oil Inventories, Fed Chair Powell’s speech, and BOE Governor Bailey’s speech on 10th February, German WPI, EU Economic Forecasts and US’ Unemployment Claims on 11th February, UK’s Prelim GDP, Goods Trade Balance, Industrial and Manufacturing Production on 12th February.

In the current week, we expect gold in COMEX market to be in the range of $1,754 to $1,912, while silver is expected to be in the range of $23.9 to $31.8. Whereas, as per our prediction for bullion market traders, gold futures will trade in the range of 45,113 to 51,939.


Page 8, Nav Gujarat Samay Newspaper, 9 Feb 2021

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Morning Market Insight Report – 9 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Technical Outlook

In Monday’s trading session, Bank Nifty rose 0.92%, with Private Banks gaining 1.70%. However, PSU banks lost 1.04%.

We expect intraday range could be 35,458-36,731 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 37,047 to 35,162 zone for this week.

Nifty Technical Outlook

In Monday’s trading session, Nifty closed in green for 6th straight session after the budget, on the continued optimism of economy revival, and better   than expected corporate results.

We expect intraday range could be 14,919-15,366 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,761 to 15,504.

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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Morning Market Insight Report – 8 Feb 2021

Bank Nifty Intraday Outlook

In Friday’s trading session, Bank Nifty rose 1.43%, with PSU Banks gaining 2.61% and Private Banks gaining 1.70%.

We expect intraday range could be 35,021-36,303 with sideways to negative momentum & broader range could be expected between 34,714 to 36,598 zone for this week.

Nifty Intraday Outlook

In Friday’s trading session, Nifty closed higher, after touching 15k mark in intraday session, supported by banks.

We expect intraday range could be 14,632-15,189 with sideways to negative momentum while broader range could be 14,493 to 15,347.

Short and Long term moving averages

Daily market statistics

Major global & domestic economic events

Results Calendar

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